LSU victory is inevitable, he says as he pushes his glasses back up his nose and takes a hit from his inhaler or is that a hit from his Kool-Aid.
and here is why
LSU gives up 315.9 yds per game. They have done so against teams that normally gain 405 yds per game... thus you can expect LSU to give up 315.9 yds/405 yds or 78% of its opponent’s normal total yardage.
Bama’s offense averages 421.9 yds per game, so one expectation based on what LSU defense has done in the past and what Bama has done is that LSU will hold Bama to 78% of Bama's usual 421.9 or 329 total yards. Now we have to translate that into points.
To date, in every game in which an FBS school has been a participant there has been an average of 804.5 yards of offense per game and there has been an average of 57 pts scored in all those games.. So in the grand scheme every 14.12 yards equals 1 point scored (804.5yds/57 points).
So logically Bama's will put up 329 total yards of offense with every 14.12 yards translating to a point…. Bama will score 23.3 points (329 yds/14.12 yards per point).
So what does LSU score? This one is simple. LSU has scored 38.9 points per game thus far this year. They have done this against teams whose defenses give up on average 27.5 points per game. So history tells us that LSU scores 11.4 points over what its opponent normally gives up. Bama’s defense has given up 16.4 points per game. So logically, LSU should score 11.4 more than 16.4 or 27.8 points.
Thus the inescapable conclusion is that, on a neutral field, LSU wins this game
LSU 27.8
Bama 23.3
Since it is a home game for Alabama we need to consider the home field advantage (which they haven’t really enjoyed over LSU in recent years) Let just round them up to 24 and round us down to 27 to account for this. (Essentially a 1.1 point home field advantage)
And LSU wins 27-24
It unavoidable, its math, logic and statistics and they never lie.
and here is why
LSU gives up 315.9 yds per game. They have done so against teams that normally gain 405 yds per game... thus you can expect LSU to give up 315.9 yds/405 yds or 78% of its opponent’s normal total yardage.
Bama’s offense averages 421.9 yds per game, so one expectation based on what LSU defense has done in the past and what Bama has done is that LSU will hold Bama to 78% of Bama's usual 421.9 or 329 total yards. Now we have to translate that into points.
To date, in every game in which an FBS school has been a participant there has been an average of 804.5 yards of offense per game and there has been an average of 57 pts scored in all those games.. So in the grand scheme every 14.12 yards equals 1 point scored (804.5yds/57 points).
So logically Bama's will put up 329 total yards of offense with every 14.12 yards translating to a point…. Bama will score 23.3 points (329 yds/14.12 yards per point).
So what does LSU score? This one is simple. LSU has scored 38.9 points per game thus far this year. They have done this against teams whose defenses give up on average 27.5 points per game. So history tells us that LSU scores 11.4 points over what its opponent normally gives up. Bama’s defense has given up 16.4 points per game. So logically, LSU should score 11.4 more than 16.4 or 27.8 points.
Thus the inescapable conclusion is that, on a neutral field, LSU wins this game
LSU 27.8
Bama 23.3
Since it is a home game for Alabama we need to consider the home field advantage (which they haven’t really enjoyed over LSU in recent years) Let just round them up to 24 and round us down to 27 to account for this. (Essentially a 1.1 point home field advantage)
And LSU wins 27-24
It unavoidable, its math, logic and statistics and they never lie.